Over/Under KY’s SEC Record

[TOMCATS1990]

Just saw a story on Wildcats Today predicting KY to go 15-3. Thoughts? Predictions? Here is theirs

@ Florida - Win Saturday Jan 6th 12:30pm
Missouri - Win Tuesday Jan 9th 7:00 pm
@ Texas A&M - Loss Saturday Jan 13th 2:00 pm
Mississippi St - Win Wednesday Jan 17th 7:00 pm
@ Georgia- Win Saturday Jan 20th 6:00 pm
@South Carolina- Win Tuesday Jan 23rd 7:00 pm
@ Arkansas - Win Saturday Jan 27th 6:00
Florida - Win Wednesday Jan 31st 8:00 pm
Tennessee- Win Feb 3rd 8:30 pm
@ Vanderbilt- Win Feb 6th 8:30 pm
Ole Miss - Win Tuesday Feb 13th 9:00
@ Auburn - Loss Saturday Feb 17th 6:00pm
@ LSU - Win Wednesday Feb 21st 9:00
Alabama Win Saturday Feb 24th 4:00 pm
@ Mississippi St - Win Tuesday Feb 27th 7:00 pm
Arkansas - Win Saturday March 2nd 1:30 pm
Vanderbilt - Win Wednesday March 6th 9:00 pm
@ Tennessee - Loss Saturday March 9th 4:00 pm

 

[cats2010]

I’m thinking 14-4. Hard to guess game by game, win a game(s) you think they will lose and lose a game(s) you think they will win. Love for them to do better than that but with the SEC being as tough as it is, be hard to be too disappointed when all is said and done this year and we end up with 6 losses at conclusion of regular season.

 

[Jamal Mercer]

12-6

 

[JonathanW]

Just saw a story on Wildcats Today predicting KY to go 15-3. Thoughts? Predictions? Here is theirs

0.75 @ Florida - Win Saturday Jan 6th 12:30pm
0.9 Missouri - Win Tuesday Jan 9th 7:00 pm
0.45 @ Texas A&M - Loss Saturday Jan 13th 2:00 pm
0.85 Mississippi St - Win Wednesday Jan 17th 7:00 pm
0.8 @ Georgia- Win Saturday Jan 20th 6:00 pm
0.8 @South Carolina- Win Tuesday Jan 23rd 7:00 pm
0.7 @ Arkansas - Win Saturday Jan 27th 6:00
0.9 Florida - Win Wednesday Jan 31st 8:00 pm
0.65 Tennessee- Win Feb 3rd 8:30 pm
0.8 @ Vanderbilt- Win Feb 6th 8:30 pm
0.85 Ole Miss - Win Tuesday Feb 13th 9:00
0.5 @ Auburn - Loss Saturday Feb 17th 6:00pm
0.9 @ LSU - Win Wednesday Feb 21st 9:00
0.8 Alabama Win Saturday Feb 24th 4:00 pm
0.7 @ Mississippi St - Win Tuesday Feb 27th 7:00 pm
0.85 Arkansas - Win Saturday March 2nd 1:30 pm
0.95 Vanderbilt - Win Wednesday March 6th 9:00 pm
0.4 @ Tennessee - Loss Saturday March 9th 4:00 pm

As a statistician, I think of every event/game as having a certain probability, no game outcome is a certainty. I see 2 games (at UT and at TAMU) where we may be slight underdog, and 1 more (at Auburn) that be a coin toss (50/50). So add up those game probabilities and you get an expected value (number) of wins. So I’ve added my probability estimates for each game above. They add up to 13.55 wins, which I’ll round to 14-4.
I missed the "over/under" part, so 13.5 is closer to my 13.55 calculated estimation.

 

[JFCats22]

If you were actually betting nobody would be the over. I would predict 14-4 or 13-5