UL played hardball negotiations to get the city to entice it away from an arena on campus. The city was screwed by the board, the politicians and UL.
Ummm, no; not exactly. There had been talk and nothing more about a new arena until the Fair Board put in an out year budget request to "replace aging Freedom Hall". When I read that I knew it was going to happen. The Fair Board (operators of the state owned Fair Grounds) is the only entity in Jefferson County that has received fair and equitable treatment from Frankfort in terms of "putting" money back into Jefferson County. The Mayor for Life and the "downtown interests quickly hi-jacked the project so they could execute a downtown attraction AND (many don't really "get' this) eliminate the LGE sub-station from the riverfront. The city money pledged to the project (~$100M) ultimately went to LGE to acquire the land and relocate the sub-station. IOW, the city subsidized a huge cost uniquely associated with developing this site and very little (if any) of their sizable investment actually went into construction cost.
The old "ready to build" water company site was being "reserved" for a commercial development. Due to the expense of building on the LGE commercial development would have never happened without similar considerations by the city. And the Mayor for Life and downtown interests were not going to let that big of an investment go into Central Louisville (i.e., UofL or Fair Grounds).
UofL "argued" for an on campus facility but knowing it would never happen. UofL screwed no one in this deal but was indeed going to be the beneficiary of a new arena wherever it was built. And there was not going to be an arena anywhere UNLESS UofL agreed to be the primary tenant, just as it had done for 50 years at Freedom Hall. All that said, the YUM! will never pay for itself and the primary cost will fall upon the taxpayers of Metro Louisville. The state money (I believe ~$60-65M) in the project was nothing more than an "economic development" initiative in the state's largest city (same deal as building the Civic Center and Rupp Arena years ago and countless smaller projects throughout the state).
Had there been no politicization of the project there would very likely be a new arena sitting in the state Fair Grounds quite possibly funded entirely by the state and UofL basketball still being the primary tenant.
But to return to the original subject for a moment, that $2.2B is nothing more than a 6 year wish list and only a fraction will be funded by Frankfort. And, almost certainly, no money for a PJCS expansion. That will be left to the ULAA to fund, possibly with the help of a Metro Louisville bond, but it is very unlikely any state backed revenue (much less state appropriations) would go to any such project.
The original expansion plan was for ~62,000 seat but had to be scaled backup ~56,000 due to construction inflation while waiting for Frankfort to approve the project even though they did not have a dime invested in it (Frankfort must approve all large capital projects on any state campus). A follow on project to add back those 6,000 (regular) seats would simply not economically feasible. But all this happened before UofL fortuitous entry into the ACC.
There has been a survey and expansion study done over the past year as well as announced plans to expand the Schnellenberger Complex and complete the Athletic Academic facility in the South End under the "party deck". Pure speculation on my part but, given the ACC membership, it is not out of the question that a stadium expansion be incorporated with those projects. However, any future stadium expansion will be driven by revenue considerations and not by one upping CWS's capacity. On that point, I'll say again I cannot believe that they could not find a way to do what they are doing but with much less impact on capacity.
Peace