I agree with all of this, but there are two areas where we may or may not disagree.9 -10 million bucks will up a lot of roots. So will control, fringe benefits, etc. Optimism doesn't come into play. It's business. John Calipari is a hell of a big business.
He's made similar statements every year. Ky has been his dream job from day one. Every coach says it. Cal is no fool. He'll make the best decision for himself and his family from year to year and offer to offer. Maybe he retires here, maybe not. If you think you can devine the answer from his comment, enjoy that fantasy. It is that, a flight of fancy, not optimism.
I'm optimistic that we'll continue to have great success as along as he's here. He'll put a lot of kids in the NBA. We'll win a lot of games and continue deep runs in the tournament.
But when it's over, it's over. You gotta be pretty foolish to think that his statement contains a hint of when that might be.
1. Money isn't everything - ie. there are a lot of jobs that could offer me 10 times my current salary that I wouldn't take. So while outbidding UK would take quite a figure, I still don't think that guarantees anything - as we all recall, Memphis was willing to match anything UK threw at him, and they'd probably beat the offer if he would've stayed.
Like you said, money+control is another level of appeal, but I think it's fair to say that those two things alone still aren't enough - Cal doesn't seem to have any desire to take control over a non-contender.
2. I don't think that offer will come. It's not about what a team can afford or anything like that. It's about what they think is reasonable. I could theoretically afford to buy a $50 burrito, and it wouldn't impact my finances negatively in any way. But I'd never do it out of principle.
Similarly, I can't conceive of a way that a contender-level team would ever throw full roster control and 8 figures a year at Cal unless it were in one of those "lure Lebron here" type situations which we avoided last season. He might be able to win big at the NBA level, but he hasn't done anything thus far in the league to prove to be worth that kind of commitment, so out of principle, I'm not sure why a highly successful front office would make such a move.
That's why I'm zero percent worried. I think he's getting nearer and nearer to the point that his value in the college market (demigod status) is so far beyond his value in the pro market ("risky but interesting hire" status) that pretty soon any offer he could realistically receive would involve a step down in both pay and control (considering he has carte blanche here).